The Unexplained Exit Poll Discrepancy
If you haven't read Steven Freeman's paper on the exit poll discrepancy, I recommend you read it now. In particular I think the sections where he debunks various explanations of why the exit poll data is flawed are particularly important.
Election Poll Discrepancy
Another good article is this paper in the Free Press examining the comparative validity of exit poll and vote count data. It suggests that, given a free and fair election, Kerry should have won the popular vote.
Who Won the Popular Vote?
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